NVIDIA Financial Analysis

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) - Financial Analysis

1. Company Overview

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the dominant force behind modern graphics processing and accelerated computing. While gaming GPUs built the brand, the company now powers artificial intelligence, hyperscale data-centers, professional visualization, and emerging autonomous-vehicle platforms.

Key Business Segments

Segment What It Does Growth Drivers
Gaming GeForce GPUs and software for PCs and consoles Ongoing gamer-base expansion, e-sports, ray-tracing upgrades
Data-Centre & AI Tensor-core GPUs, DGX servers, networking (Mellanox), and CUDA / AI software stacks Cloud AI models, Gen-AI training & inference, LLM demand
Professional Visualization RTX-powered workstations, Omniverse collaboration, digital-twin simulation Industrial metaverse, CAD/CAE, media & entertainment
Automotive & Embedded DRIVE Orin/Safety for ADAS, infotainment, robotics EV adoption and autonomy roadmaps

Strategic Initiatives

  • AI & Deep-Learning Leadership: record R&D spend ($12.9B FY-25) sustains CUDA lock-in and keeps rivals a node behind.
  • Platform Ecosystem: Omniverse, cuLitho, and generative-AI foundry services turn silicon into recurring software revenue.
  • Supply-Chain Expansion: multi-foundry strategy (TSMC + Samsung) and substrate capacity deals aim to ease persistent H100/B100 shortages.

2. Financial Performance

a. Revenue & Growth

TTM Revenue

$130.50B

YoY Growth

+114.2%

NVIDIA doubled sales again thanks to runaway AI infrastructure demand; gaming recovered from an inventory glut, but the data-centre segment delivered the bulk of incremental dollars.

b. Profitability

Metric Latest Comment
Net Income (TTM) $72.88B More than 2× FY-24, reflecting powerful operating leverage
EPS (Diluted) $2.94 Stock split (10-for-1 in 2024) lowers per-share optics but growth intact
Trailing PE 34.52 Near a three-year low despite record results
Forward PE 22.86 Street expects earnings cadence to remain steep
Margins Gross 74.99% • Operating 62.42% • Profit 55.85% Best-in-class for semis; software stack and mix-shift to data-centre underpin resilience

c. Cash Flow

Operating CF

$64.09B

CapEx

-$3.24B

Free CF

$60.85B

FCF/share ≈ $2.49

Massive cash generation funds buybacks ($40.6B FY-25) and a token dividend while keeping $43.21B on hand for capacity pre-payments and strategic M&A.

3. Balance Sheet

Item Value
Cash & Short-Term Investments $43.21B
Total Debt $10.27B
Net Cash $32.94B ($1.35/share)
Shareholders' Equity $79.33B
Book Value / Share $3.24
Working Capital $62.08B

Leverage remains minimal (Debt/Equity 0.13); the company could fully repay outstanding notes with one quarter of free cash flow.

4. Valuation

Multiple Current Forward / Notes
PE 34.52 Forward 22.86
PEG 0.62 Growth-adjusted valuation looks undemanding
PS 19.10 Forward 12.27
PB 31.32 Reflects high ROE
P/FCF 40.69 Premium but falling with FCF surge
Enterprise Multiples EV/Sales 18.72 • EV/EBITDA 29.33 • EV/FCF 40.15

A sub-1 PEG and compressing forward multiples suggest the market is gradually pricing explosive earnings rather than further multiple expansion.

5. Market Performance

Metric Figure
52-Week Range $75.61 – $153.13
Last Close (Apr 18 '25) $101.49
Y/Y Price Change +16.0%
Beta (5 Y) 1.96
50-DMA / 200-DMA $118.05 / $126.17
RSI (14-day) 41.68
Avg Vol (20-day) 333.5M
Short Interest 234.4M (0.96% float)

Shares corrected 34% from the late-'24 high amid profit-taking and supply-concern headlines, but muted short interest signals limited bearish conviction.

6. Financial Health & Risks

a. Liquidity

Current Ratio

4.44

Quick Ratio

3.67

Cash pile comfortably covers inventories and cap-ex ramp-ups.

b. Leverage

Debt/Equity

0.13

Debt/EBITDA

0.12

Interest-Coverage

329.8×

Near-debt-free balance sheet insulates NVDA from rate-cycle shocks.

c. Efficiency & Returns

ROE

119.18%

ROIC

70.89%

ROCE

87.07%

Asset Turnover

1.47

Inventory Turnover

4.25

Return metrics dwarf industry averages, validating premium multiples.

d. Key Risks

Risk Details
Valuation Compression Any slowdown in AI orders could trigger multiple contraction from still-elevated PE/PS levels.
Supply Constraints Substrate and HBM shortages cap shipment upside and invite competitor inroads.
Geopolitical / Export Controls Stricter U.S.–China chip rules could curtail data-centre growth in a key region.
Technological Disruption Custom accelerators (e.g., Google TPU, Apple Silicon) and emerging RISC-V GPUs target NVDA's moat.

7. Conclusion

Pros

  • Undisputed AI Leader: CUDA dominance and full-stack solutions cement pricing power.
  • Explosive Growth & Margins: Triple-digit revenue growth with ~75% gross margin is rare even in tech.
  • Cash-Rich, Low Leverage: Net-cash fortress funds aggressive cap-ex, R&D, and buybacks.
  • Improving Valuation Optics: Forward PE in the low-20s and PEG 0.62 point to earnings-led upside.

Cons

  • Premium Trading Levels: Multiples still well above long-run semiconductor medians.
  • Volatility: Beta near 2 implies sharp swings—unsuitable for low-risk mandates.
  • Sector Cyclicality & Policy Overhangs: Export restrictions and silicon cycle turns could dampen forecasts.

Final Note

NVIDIA is rewriting semiconductor economics as AI demand reshapes global computing. Financial power, technical leadership, and ecosystem lock-in argue for sustained outperformance, yet investors must balance growth euphoria against supply bottlenecks and policy uncertainty. Long-term believers may view pullbacks as opportunities, while short-horizon traders should prepare for continued volatility.

Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in equities involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

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