T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS)

Q1 2025 Financial Analysis | April 24, 2025

Executive Summary

T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS) delivered exceptional first-quarter 2025 results, continuing its industry leadership with outstanding customer growth and strong financial performance. The company reported record Q1 postpaid gross and net customer additions, which translated to robust financial growth including a 24% year-over-year increase in net income, record Q1 diluted EPS, and a 31% increase in adjusted free cash flow. These strong results underscore T-Mobile's focus on consistent execution and profitable growth through its winning combination of best network, best value, and best customer experience.

Q1 2025 Highlights

Postpaid net customer additions of 1.3 million, best ever Q1 and best in industry
Service revenues grew 5% year-over-year to $16.9 billion
Net income increased 24% year-over-year to $3.0 billion
Diluted EPS grew 29% year-over-year to $2.58
Adjusted Free Cash Flow increased 31% year-over-year to $4.4 billion

Customer Performance

Postpaid Net Adds
1.34M
↑9.6% YoY
Postpaid Phone Net Adds
495K
↓7.0% YoY
Postpaid Account Net Adds
205K
↓6.0% YoY
High Speed Internet Net Adds
424K
↑4.7% YoY
Total Net Customer Adds
1.38M
↑17.9% YoY
Total Customers
130.9M
↑8.3% YoY

T-Mobile achieved exceptional customer growth in Q1 2025, posting its best ever first-quarter postpaid net customer additions of 1.3 million, an increase of 117 thousand year-over-year. This performance was driven by higher gross additions across all customer categories, reflecting the company's effective customer-first focus and its winning combination of network quality, value, and service.

Postpaid phone net customer additions reached 495 thousand during the quarter, which, while slightly below the 532 thousand adds from Q1 2024, still represented industry-leading performance. Postpaid phone churn increased slightly to 0.91% from 0.86% in the prior year period, but remained relatively low, indicating strong customer loyalty. The company also added 205 thousand postpaid net accounts, continuing its successful strategy of attracting entire households to its services.

T-Mobile's High Speed Internet business maintained its strong momentum, adding 424 thousand net customers, up 4.7% year-over-year. This marks the 13th consecutive quarter that T-Mobile has led the industry in broadband net additions, bringing its total High Speed Internet customer base to 6.9 million. The company's fixed wireless offering continues to resonate with consumers seeking an alternative to traditional broadband providers.

Financial Performance

Total Service Revenue
$16.9B
↑5.2% YoY
Postpaid Service Revenue
$13.6B
↑7.6% YoY
Net Income
$3.0B
↑24.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
$2.58
↑29.0% YoY
Core Adjusted EBITDA
$8.3B
↑8.4% YoY
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
$4.4B
↑31.3% YoY

T-Mobile's customer growth translated into exceptional financial performance in Q1 2025. Total service revenues increased 5.2% year-over-year to $16.9 billion, with postpaid service revenues growing at an even stronger rate of 7.6% to reach $13.6 billion. This growth rate is more than three times that of T-Mobile's next closest wireless competitor, demonstrating the company's continued market share gains and successful monetization of its growing customer base.

Net income jumped 24.4% year-over-year to $3.0 billion, marking the company's best ever first-quarter net income. This strong bottom-line growth led to diluted earnings per share of $2.58, representing a 29.0% increase compared to Q1 2024. The EPS growth outpaced net income growth due to the company's ongoing share repurchase program, which has reduced the number of outstanding shares.

Core Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes lease revenues, increased 8.4% year-over-year to $8.3 billion, growing at double the average rate of T-Mobile's wireless peer group. This improvement reflects the company's effective cost management and operating leverage as it scales its business. Additionally, adjusted free cash flow surged 31.3% to a record Q1 level of $4.4 billion, supported by a 34.7% increase in net cash provided by operating activities, which reached $6.8 billion.

Network & Technology Leadership

5G Advanced Network

Key Achievements

  • Nationwide 5G Advanced network deployment
  • Only carrier with standalone 5G core
  • Record-breaking 6.3 Gbps downlink speeds in field test
  • Dynamic slicing capabilities
  • Lower latency and more efficient IoT throughput

T-Satellite

Beta Launch Highlights

  • Only satellite network in US compatible with most modern smartphones
  • Seamless transition from terrestrial to satellite networks
  • Hundreds of thousands of active users
  • Over a million messages delivered
  • Available to all mobile customers, including competitors' customers

T-Mobile continues to extend its overall network leadership through innovation and technology advancements. As the only carrier in the country to roll out a nationwide 5G Advanced network, T-Mobile is leveraging its standalone 5G core to deliver superior performance. This unique network architecture enables advanced carrier aggregation, which has allowed T-Mobile to achieve record-breaking 6.3 Gbps downlink speeds in a recent field test. The 5G Advanced network also supports dynamic slicing, lower latency, and more efficient IoT throughput, all of which contribute to an enhanced customer experience.

In a groundbreaking move, T-Mobile launched T-Satellite, the only satellite network in the US that works on most modern smartphones released in the last four years. This innovative service seamlessly connects from terrestrial to satellite networks, providing an unparalleled direct-to-cell experience. The beta program already has hundreds of thousands of active users and has delivered over a million messages. Notably, T-Mobile is offering this service to any mobile customer enrolled in the beta, including AT&T and Verizon customers, further demonstrating its commitment to industry leadership.

T-Mobile's network excellence continues to be recognized by third-party evaluators. Opensignal named T-Mobile the global winner in download speed experience among countries with large landmass, highlighting that T-Mobile is the only carrier in the world with this honor. Additionally, RootMetrics awarded T-Mobile with the best 5G availability for the eighth consecutive time in its February 2025 report, confirming the company's sustained leadership in 5G deployment and performance.

Cash Flow & Shareholder Returns

Operating Cash Flow
$6.8B
↑34.7% YoY
Capital Expenditures
$2.5B
↓6.7% YoY
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
$4.4B
↑31.3% YoY
Share Repurchases
$2.5B
N/A
Cash Dividends
$1.0B
N/A
Total Shareholder Returns
$3.5B
N/A

T-Mobile demonstrated exceptional cash flow generation in Q1 2025, with net cash provided by operating activities surging 34.7% year-over-year to $6.8 billion. This substantial increase reflects the company's effective monetization of its growing customer base and disciplined cost management. Capital expenditures, including capitalized interest, decreased 6.7% to $2.5 billion compared to the prior year period, indicating improving capital efficiency as T-Mobile's network deployment enters a more mature phase.

The combination of higher operating cash flow and lower capital expenditures resulted in adjusted free cash flow of $4.4 billion, a 31.3% increase from Q1 2024 and a record for any first quarter in the company's history. This strong cash generation positions T-Mobile well to continue investing in growth initiatives while returning significant value to shareholders.

In Q1 2025, T-Mobile returned $3.5 billion to shareholders, consisting of $2.5 billion in share repurchases and $1.0 billion in cash dividends. These shareholder returns are part of the company's current authorization of up to $14.0 billion. Since the inception of its capital return program, T-Mobile has returned a cumulative $34.8 billion to shareholders, split between $29.8 billion in repurchases and $5.1 billion in cash dividends. The company's robust cash flow generation supports this significant and sustained return of capital while maintaining financial flexibility for future investments.

Outlook & Guidance

Updated 2025 Financial Guidance

Postpaid net customer additions: 5.5-6.0 million (unchanged)
Core Adjusted EBITDA: $33.2-33.7 billion (increased by $100M at midpoint)
Net cash provided by operating activities: $27.0-27.5 billion (increased at midpoint)
Capital expenditures: ~$9.5 billion (unchanged)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $17.5-18.0 billion (increased at midpoint)

Strategic Focus Areas

Sustained customer growth across all segments
Continued expansion of fixed wireless broadband business
Network technology leadership and innovation
Margin expansion and cash flow growth
Continued shareholder value creation

Management Commentary

"T-Mobile delivered big yet again with outstanding Q1 results across wireless and broadband, including our best ever Q1 total postpaid customer gross and net additions—proof that our consistent customer-first focus has put us in the best position to succeed in this dynamic environment. A record number of customers chose the Un-carrier in Q1 — we grew postpaid gross additions year-over-year across the board and our High Speed Internet business led the industry in net customer additions for the 13th straight quarter. And all of this customer growth drove fantastic financial growth with strong net cash provided by operating activities and our highest-ever Q1 Adjusted Free Cash Flow. This is a great start to 2025, and we're excited about what's to come as we continue to deliver innovative experiences, our best-in-class network, and unmatched value to customers." - Mike Sievert, CEO of T-Mobile

Following its strong Q1 2025 performance, T-Mobile has raised key elements of its 2025 financial guidance. The company maintained its postpaid net customer additions guidance of 5.5 to 6.0 million, which is already at a historically high level, reflecting confidence in continued strong customer acquisition and retention. T-Mobile increased its Core Adjusted EBITDA guidance by $100 million at the midpoint to a range of $33.2 to $33.7 billion, indicating expectations for improved operational efficiency and profitability.

The company also raised its guidance for net cash provided by operating activities at the midpoint to a range of $27.0 to $27.5 billion, while keeping capital expenditure guidance unchanged at approximately $9.5 billion. As a result, T-Mobile increased its Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance at the midpoint to $17.5 to $18.0 billion, suggesting continued strong cash generation potential for the remainder of the year.

It's worth noting that T-Mobile's guidance excludes the pending acquisitions of UScellular and Metronet, but includes the incorporation of Vistar Media, Blis, and Lumos. The updated outlook reflects management's confidence in the company's ability to execute on its strategy of driving profitable growth through customer expansion, network leadership, and operational excellence. CEO Mike Sievert's comments highlight the company's optimistic view of its competitive positioning and growth prospects for the remainder of 2025.

Risks & Opportunities

Risks

!
Increasing industry competition and potential price wars
!
Integration risks from pending acquisitions
!
Regulatory changes affecting wireless and broadband markets
!
Supply chain disruptions and potential tariff impacts
!
Increasing network capacity requirements with data usage growth

Opportunities

+
Continued expansion in fixed wireless broadband market
+
Growth potential from satellite connectivity services
+
Strategic acquisitions to enhance capabilities and reach
+
Enterprise and business market penetration
+
5G monetization through new services and applications

Conclusion

Strengths

  • Best-ever Q1 postpaid gross and net customer additions
  • Industry-leading growth in service revenues
  • Record Q1 net income and diluted EPS
  • Significant increase in adjusted free cash flow
  • Network technology leadership with 5G Advanced and T-Satellite

Focus Areas

  • Managing postpaid phone churn, which increased slightly
  • Successful integration of pending acquisitions
  • Navigating increased competitive intensity in wireless market
  • Maintaining network advantage as competitors enhance their offerings
  • Growing enterprise and business segment market share

Summary

T-Mobile delivered outstanding performance in Q1 2025, demonstrating the effectiveness of its customer-first strategy and the competitive advantages of its industry-leading 5G network. The company's ability to achieve record customer growth while simultaneously delivering substantial financial improvements highlights the successful execution of its profitable growth strategy. With strong momentum in both its wireless and High Speed Internet businesses, T-Mobile is well-positioned to maintain its leadership position in the telecommunications industry.

The increase in key financial guidance metrics reflects management's confidence in the company's trajectory for the remainder of 2025. T-Mobile's innovative network technologies, including its nationwide 5G Advanced network and groundbreaking T-Satellite service, provide a sustainable competitive advantage and create new growth opportunities. Combined with its robust cash flow generation and disciplined capital allocation, T-Mobile appears poised to continue delivering significant value to both customers and shareholders.

Looking ahead, T-Mobile is likely to maintain its momentum through continued network leadership, customer experience enhancements, and value-focused offerings. While the company faces an increasingly competitive landscape and potential challenges from pending acquisitions, its strong execution track record and clear strategic focus provide a solid foundation for sustained success. The company's balanced approach to growth investments and shareholder returns positions it well for long-term value creation in the dynamic telecommunications market.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor. The information presented is based on T-Mobile's Q1 2025 earnings release and may not reflect subsequent developments.

Source: T-Mobile Q1 2025 Earnings Release

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